This Polymarket trader has placed 43 conviction trades and shows sharpest calibration on Other markets. Recent positions lean toward Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?. 30-day P&L: -$394 across 52 open positions.
— The headline differentiator
Calibration — How often this whale is right
Calibration — How Often This Whale Is Right
Prediction Error across this whale's most recent resolved Polymarket markets, broken down by category. Lower error means entry prices were closer to the truth. Only conviction trades (10k+ USD entry volume) are counted, and the sample is unweighted by position size — so a great score can still coexist with bad recent P&L.