Who is Polymarket whale maxgreen?

maxgreen is a Polymarket trader (wallet 0xefddbb135e2cc2648e3ca6a6b3d4fa4994d5017f). 30-day P&L: +$168k across 5 positions. Sharpest calibration on Sports markets (26% prediction error).

What is maxgreen's prediction error on Polymarket?

maxgreen's prediction error on Polymarket is 26% across the 29 most recent resolved 10k+ trades. Lower is better — 0% would be perfectly calibrated and ~25% is a coin flip.

What markets does maxgreen trade?

maxgreen's Polymarket volume breaks down as 85% on Sports, 15% on Other.

How accurate are maxgreen's predictions?

maxgreen's sharpest category is Sports with 26% prediction error across 25 resolved 10k+ trades. Calibration is more durable than P&L because it accounts for luck — luck doesn't move the score, only being right does.

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Polymarket whale maxgreen— calibration, trades & P&L

0xefdd…017fPolymarket profile ↗

Sports

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This Polymarket trader has placed 29 conviction trades and shows sharpest calibration on Sports markets. Recent positions lean toward Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?. 30-day P&L: +$168k across 5 open positions.

+$168k

30d P&L

+$43k

Open P&L

—

Rank

Open positions

— The headline differentiator

Calibration — How often this whale is right

Calibration — How Often This Whale Is Right

Prediction Error across this whale's most recent resolved Polymarket markets, broken down by category. Lower error means entry prices were closer to the truth. Only conviction trades (10k+ USD entry volume) are counted, and the sample is unweighted by position size — so a great score can still coexist with bad recent P&L.

Prediction Error

26.1%

10k+ trades scored

lower error = sharper

Polymarket whale maxgreen— calibration, trades & P&L

Calibration — How often this whale is right

Calibration — How Often This Whale Is Right

Realized & unrealized P&L

P&L performance

Open positions & recent Polymarket trades

Open positions (5)

Recent trades on Polymarket

Market mix

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Common questions about maxgreen

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