This Polymarket trader has placed 40 conviction trades and shows sharpest calibration on Sports markets. Recent positions lean toward Geneva Open, Qualification: Henry Bernet vs Francisco Comesana. 30-day P&L: -$12k across 2 open positions.
-$12k
30d P&L
+$3k
Open P&L
—
Rank
2
Open positions
— The headline differentiator
Calibration — How often this whale is right
Calibration — How Often This Whale Is Right
Prediction Error across this whale's most recent resolved Polymarket markets, broken down by category. Lower error means entry prices were closer to the truth. Only conviction trades (10k+ USD entry volume) are counted, and the sample is unweighted by position size — so a great score can still coexist with bad recent P&L.
Prediction Error
6.3%