This Polymarket trader has placed 145 conviction trades and shows sharpest calibration on Other markets. Recent positions lean toward Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?. 30-day P&L: -$222k across 5 open positions.
-$222k
30d P&L
-$140k
Open P&L
—
Rank
5
Open positions
— The headline differentiator
Calibration — How often this whale is right
Calibration — How Often This Whale Is Right
Prediction Error across this whale's most recent resolved Polymarket markets, broken down by category. Lower error means entry prices were closer to the truth. Only conviction trades (10k+ USD entry volume) are counted, and the sample is unweighted by position size — so a great score can still coexist with bad recent P&L.
Prediction Error
23.8%
10k+ trades scored
145