This Polymarket trader has placed 72 conviction trades and shows sharpest calibration on Crypto markets. Recent positions lean toward Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?. 30-day P&L: +$6k across 6 open positions.
+$6k
30d P&L
-$781
Open P&L
—
Rank
6
Open positions
— The headline differentiator
Calibration — How often this whale is right
Calibration — How Often This Whale Is Right
Prediction Error across this whale's most recent resolved Polymarket markets, broken down by category. Lower error means entry prices were closer to the truth. Only conviction trades (10k+ USD entry volume) are counted, and the sample is unweighted by position size — so a great score can still coexist with bad recent P&L.
Prediction Error
0.1%
10k+ trades scored
72