Who is Polymarket whale takeormake?

takeormake is a Polymarket trader (wallet 0xa38a455bbdd4b68486548b7e19da99903f4f821d). 30-day P&L: +$141k across 15 positions. Sharpest calibration on Sports markets (20% prediction error).

What is takeormake's prediction error on Polymarket?

takeormake's prediction error on Polymarket is 20% across the 12 most recent resolved 10k+ trades. Lower is better — 0% would be perfectly calibrated and ~25% is a coin flip.

What markets does takeormake trade?

takeormake's Polymarket volume breaks down as 85% on Sports, 15% on Other.

How accurate are takeormake's predictions?

takeormake's sharpest category is Sports with 20% prediction error across 12 resolved 10k+ trades. Calibration is more durable than P&L because it accounts for luck — luck doesn't move the score, only being right does.

A3

Polymarket whale takeormake— calibration, trades & P&L

0xa38a…821dPolymarket profile ↗

Sports

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This Polymarket trader has placed 12 conviction trades and shows sharpest calibration on Sports markets. Recent positions lean toward Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?. 30-day P&L: +$141k across 15 open positions.

+$141k

30d P&L

+$42k

Open P&L

—

Rank

Open positions

— The headline differentiator

Calibration — How often this whale is right

Calibration — How Often This Whale Is Right

Prediction Error across this whale's most recent resolved Polymarket markets, broken down by category. Lower error means entry prices were closer to the truth. Only conviction trades (10k+ USD entry volume) are counted, and the sample is unweighted by position size — so a great score can still coexist with bad recent P&L.

Prediction Error

19.7%

10k+ trades scored

lower error = sharper

Polymarket whale takeormake— calibration, trades & P&L

Calibration — How often this whale is right

Calibration — How Often This Whale Is Right

Realized & unrealized P&L

P&L performance

Open positions & recent Polymarket trades

Open positions (15)

Recent trades on Polymarket

Market mix

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Common questions about takeormake

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