This Polymarket trader has placed 15 conviction trades. Recent positions lean toward Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-16?. 30-day P&L: -$161 across 2 open positions.
-$161
30d P&L
+$19k
Open P&L
—
Rank
2
Open positions
— The headline differentiator
Calibration — How often this whale is right
Calibration — How Often This Whale Is Right
Prediction Error across this whale's most recent resolved Polymarket markets, broken down by category. Lower error means entry prices were closer to the truth. Only conviction trades (10k+ USD entry volume) are counted, and the sample is unweighted by position size — so a great score can still coexist with bad recent P&L.
Prediction Error
17.8%
10k+ trades scored
15
— Performance