Who is Polymarket whale Grenderen?

Grenderen is a Polymarket trader (wallet 0x4761ecf3578e388a9b16c43f874efe32ee855ae8). 30-day P&L: +$99k across 2 positions.

What is Grenderen's prediction error on Polymarket?

Grenderen hasn't been scored yet — calibration requires at least 10 resolved 10k+ Polymarket trades. Once that threshold is met, prediction error appears here automatically.

What markets does Grenderen trade?

Grenderen's Polymarket volume breaks down as 60% on Sports, 40% on Other.

How accurate are Grenderen's predictions?

Grenderen hasn't yet placed enough resolved 10k+ Polymarket trades to score by calibration. Calibration is more durable than P&L because it accounts for luck — luck doesn't move the score, only being right does.

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Polymarket whale Grenderen— calibration, trades & P&L

0x4761…5ae8Polymarket profile ↗

Sports

Get an alert when Grenderen trades →

This Polymarket trader has not yet been scored on conviction trades. Recent positions lean toward Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-16?. 30-day P&L: +$99k across 2 open positions.

+$99k

30d P&L

-$3k

Open P&L

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Rank

Open positions

— The headline differentiator

Calibration — How often this whale is right

— Performance

Realized & unrealized P&L

P&L performance

+$99klast 30 days

— Activity

Open positions & recent Polymarket trades

Open positions (2)

MarketDirection

Polymarket whale Grenderen— calibration, trades & P&L

Calibration — How often this whale is right

Realized & unrealized P&L

P&L performance

Open positions & recent Polymarket trades

Open positions (2)

Recent trades on Polymarket

Market mix

Real-time alerts on Grenderen

Common questions about Grenderen

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