This Polymarket trader has placed 28 conviction trades and shows sharpest calibration on Sports markets. Recent positions lean toward Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs. 30-day P&L: +$102k across 2 open positions.
— The headline differentiator
Calibration — How often this whale is right
Calibration — How Often This Whale Is Right
Prediction Error across this whale's most recent resolved Polymarket markets, broken down by category. Lower error means entry prices were closer to the truth. Only conviction trades (10k+ USD entry volume) are counted, and the sample is unweighted by position size — so a great score can still coexist with bad recent P&L.
