This Polymarket trader has placed 58 conviction trades and shows sharpest calibration on Sports markets. Recent positions lean toward Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-16?. 30-day P&L: -$34k across 4 open positions.
-$34k
30d P&L
-$2k
Open P&L
—
Rank
4
Open positions
— The headline differentiator
Calibration — How often this whale is right
Calibration — How Often This Whale Is Right
Prediction Error across this whale's most recent resolved Polymarket markets, broken down by category. Lower error means entry prices were closer to the truth. Only conviction trades (10k+ USD entry volume) are counted, and the sample is unweighted by position size — so a great score can still coexist with bad recent P&L.
Prediction Error
20.3%
10k+ trades scored
58