This Polymarket trader has placed 15 conviction trades and shows sharpest calibration on Sports markets. Recent positions lean toward FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 4.5. 30-day P&L: +$31k across 24 open positions.
+$31k
30d P&L
+$2k
Open P&L
—
Rank
24
Open positions
— The headline differentiator
Calibration — How often this whale is right
Calibration — How Often This Whale Is Right
Prediction Error across this whale's most recent resolved Polymarket markets, broken down by category. Lower error means entry prices were closer to the truth. Only conviction trades (10k+ USD entry volume) are counted, and the sample is unweighted by position size — so a great score can still coexist with bad recent P&L.
Prediction Error
24.5%
10k+ trades scored
15